Thank you to our 1,100+ subscribers. We appreciate the support as we continue building Alphatica.
Here's where we stand across all signals:
Signal #001: +20.52% L/S over 20 days (closed)
Signal #002: +5.96% L/S over 20 days (closed)
Signal #003: In progress but positive
Three signals. Three positive spreads. Three profitable short books in a market that has done nothing but rally.
Below is your fourth batch of machine learning-driven equity picks.
Current regime: Neutral / Bear. The model remains defensive same posture as Signal #003.
*PLEASE DO NOT GIVE AWAY OUR/YOUR EDGE. WE CANNOT TRACK IT NOW BUT THERE WILL BE A TIME WHEN WE START TO.
SIGNAL #004: May 13, 2026
Horizon: 10-20 Trading Days
Regime: Neutral / Bear
Longs:
• DASH — DoorDash
• EL — Estée Lauder
• EXPE — Expedia
• OXY — Occidental Petroleum
• URI — United Rentals
• VST — Vistra
• ACN — Accenture
• CRM — Salesforce
Shorts:
• MLM — Martin Marietta Materials
• TRV — Travelers Companies
• EA — Electronic Arts
• AEP — American Electric Power
• WEC — WEC Energy Group
• ITW — Illinois Tool Works
• SPG — Simon Property Group
• CB — Chubb
The long book shifted toward consumer and tech services; DASH, EXPE, CRM, ACN, alongside energy (OXY) and power (VST).
The short side is the same conviction the model has carried across all four signals. Utilities (AEP, WEC), industrials (MLM, ITW), insurance (TRV, CB), and REITs (SPG). $EA is new, the model flagged it as overextended relative to the group. ITW has appeared in both Signal #002 (+8.17% short P&L) and now Signal #004. AEP and WEC have appeared across three consecutive signals.
We will track this signal daily and send updates as it progresses.
We're focused on the research and letting the results speak for themselves. We'll continue sending signals and updates, and as things progress, we'll share what's next. We appreciate your support.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any returns, signals, model outputs, or performance metrics referenced herein are based on historical backtesting, live tracking, or hypothetical analysis and may not be replicated in the future. Historical results do not guarantee future performance. Markets are inherently uncertain, volatile, and subject to rapid change. Losses — including total loss of invested capital — are possible and may occur without warning.
The signals provided reflect the output of quantitative models that rely on historical data and statistical relationships. These models are subject to limitations including but not limited to: data errors, model overfitting, regime changes, liquidity constraints, execution slippage, and unforeseen market events. The models do not account for individual financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax implications, or liquidity needs.
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